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December 15, 2025AI’s Disruptive Effect on Human Jobs
By C. Rich
The rapid evolution of artificial intelligence, exemplified by the release of models such as OpenAI’s GPT 5.2 in late 2025, has profound implications for human employment, particularly in knowledge-based professions. Discussions among leading experts highlight a consensus that AI is not merely augmenting human labor but increasingly surpassing it in efficiency, speed, and cost-effectiveness. This development signals a potential restructuring of the global workforce, with significant displacement anticipated in the near term. Advanced AI systems are poised to automate a substantial portion of knowledge work, leading to widespread job displacement. In 2025 alone, the United States experienced 1.1 million layoffs, the highest since the 2020 pandemic, largely attributed to AI-driven efficiencies in sectors like technology and professional services. Experts predict that 2026 will mark the most significant collapse of the corporate world in business history, as AI capabilities enable the elimination of 80–90% of existing roles, though regulatory hurdles and organizational inertia may temper adoption.
A pivotal metric underscoring this shift is the GDP Val benchmark, developed by OpenAI to evaluate AI’s ability to automate knowledge work across 44 occupations and 1,320 specialized tasks. GPT 5.2 achieved 70.9% success on this evaluation, up from 38.8% for GPT 5.1. In direct comparisons, AI outperformed humans in 71% of tasks, completing them at more than 11 times the speed and less than 1% of the cost of human professionals. This performance renders traditional knowledge work, encompassing roles in data analysis, report generation, and administrative functions, “cooked,” if starkly phrased.
Corporate leaders face paralysis in responding to these changes, often clinging to legacy systems incompatible with AI integration. Successful adaptation requires rebuilding processes from an AI-native foundation, yet bureaucratic resistance delays progress. Proposals for mitigation include reskilling programs, universal basic income or services, and strategic partnerships with AI-focused startups to drive internal innovation. Without such measures, startups leveraging low-cost AI could rapidly erode incumbents’ market share, echoing historical disruptions like those faced by Blockbuster and now traditional media outlets.
The advent of models like GPT 5.2 heralds an era where AI not only matches but exceeds human performance in knowledge work, at unprecedented speed and minimal cost. This promises abundance but demands urgent societal adaptation to mitigate job displacement. As the competitive race intensifies, differentiated strategies and benchmark “spikiness” will shape which labs lead. Ultimately, proactive reskilling, policy innovation, and corporate pivots will determine whether this transformation yields widespread prosperity or disruption. The trajectory is clear: knowledge work, as traditionally conceived, is undergoing irreversible change. It is not about missing the bus; it is the bus running you over. Under the bus is the future of many careers.



